Oil price falls further to $118

Kerteh Refinery Complex

Kerteh Refinery Complex

Oil prices touched three-month lows of $118 a barrel on Tuesday amid signs of rising supplies and slowing demand.

US crude fell as low as $118 a barrel, before recovering to $119.13. Brent crude fell by $2.33 to $118.35.

Prices fell on Monday after it seemed that storms in the Gulf of Mexico were unlikely to lower output.

Some analysts have also said that slowing economic growth is set to cut demand for commodities in general, and metals prices have been falling.

Demand drop

On Monday, the price of platinum hit six-month lows as falling car production hit demand for emission control devices, its largest market.

Meanwhile, rubber prices – the main raw material for tyres – hit two-month lows.

Copper, lead and zinc – all used in the industrial sector – have seen their prices fall in recent days with many blaming falling demand from the previously red-hot Chinese economy.

“You’ve got an economic slowdown and markets are slowly coming to terms with it,” said Mark Konyn, chief executive of Allianz SE’s RCM Asia Pacific arm.

“Some of the speculation that was looking for safe harbour in commodities is starting to unwind.”

Stockpiles growing

Experts added that rising stockpiles have also pointed to falling demand for commodities, making them a less attractive prospect.

For example US soybean futures hit their lowest level in three months as supplies were boosted by good weather and a slowdown in Chinese buying ahead of the Beijing Olympics.

On Monday, a Reuters survey found that supplies from oil producer group Opec had risen for the third month in a row in July.

The increase in Opec supply was mainly due to Saudi Arabia raising its oil output.

Weak US consumer spending figures released on Monday also increased expectations that demand for fuel in the US could drop.

Analysts said that many investors were now focusing more on the potential imbalances between supply and demand on the oil market, and were looking at moving cash from oil and putting it in other assets.

“Most of the hedge funds have been taking profits,” said Angus McPhail of British-based investment firm Alliance Trust.

He added that prices could fall to “about $100 within the next month if you keep on getting weak demand data”.

source: BBC NEWS, Business

recent crude oil graph

recent crude oil graph

Caption: C=close, O=open, H=high, L=low

Source: TFC Commodity Charts

~ by sandozme on August 5, 2008.

3 Responses to “Oil price falls further to $118”

  1. salam bro

    any chance in Malaysia oil prices will decreases?? need heard u’r conclusion regarding the news….😄

  2. salam bro.
    once oil price increase, our economy will down!

  3. my conclusion is very simple. we are very near to “end of days”….be prepared.

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